Week 9 NFL Picks

Thursday, Nov. 3

Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NB: Atlanta Falcons. This comes down to me having zero faith in Tampa Bay right now. Jameis has been inconsistent all year and it’s a short trip for Atlanta to south on a short week.

RH: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs are in a do or die situation against a team they’ve already beaten once this season and it’s time for Jameis Winston to take the next step. Take the home dog here.

Sunday, Nov. 6

Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-9)

NB: Jacksonville Jaguars. This has backdoor cover written all over it. And do you really want to wager on Randy’s ex favorite player Nick Foles?

RH: Kansas City Chiefs. I don’t feel confident about betting on Nick Foles, but the Jags are just so bad I can’t imagine them even keeping this game close.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-6)

NB: Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings need to get back on track after back to back losses. Their excellent pass defense should keep Stafford in check and I think the offense rebounds after a tough week.

RH: Minnesota Vikings. I’m staying on the Vikings one more week despite them laying an egg against the Bears on Monday night. The Lions have the ability to wreck this bet against the Vikings terrible offensive line, but I have faith the Vikings defense can wrap this one up.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-2.5)

NB: New York Giants. The G Men are coming off a bye and need this win to keep up in the NFC East. The league has figured out Wentz a bit as he comes back down to Earth. Eli is due for a big game after struggling in the first half. Leaning Giants here.

RH: Philadelphia Eagles. A loss like the one Philly just suffered has the potential to derail the season, however I think the Eagles defensive line will be way too much for the Giants suspect offensive line to handle.

Dallas Cowboys (-7) at Cleveland Browns

NB: Cleveland Browns. For some reason, this feels like a trap for Dallas. Coming off a big win over Philly and before a game against old cross conference rivals Pittsburgh, the Cowboys will be looking past Cleveland. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Cleveland got their first win this week.

RH: Cleveland Browns. Dallas wins this one, but it won’t be as easy as people think. Major letdown spot in this one.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3.5)

NB: Miami Dolphins. The worst game on the slate this week. I would stay away from this, but I’ll take Miami at home against a very bad Jets team.

RH: New York Jets. I hate everything about this game, but the extra half point does put some value on the Jets side. Stay away.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)

NB: Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers got swept by the Ravens last year despite making the playoffs. Don’t you think they forgot that. And in this matchup, I’d always rather have the 2.5 points in what figures to be a close game.

RH: Pittsburgh Steelers. This could end up being a great line for the Steelers if Big Ben plays. Even if he doesn’t memories of Charlie Batch will be in Ravens fans head’s when Landry Jones takes the field.

New Orleans Saints (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers

NB: San Francisco 49ers. This line seems off for a terrible Niners team. That tells me that Vegas knows something that we do not. I’ll hold my nose and take San Francisco, hoping to go against the betting public.

RH: San Francisco 49ers. Take the home dog in a game that could turn into a shootout quickly.

Carolina Panthers (-3) at Los Angeles Rams

NB: Los Angeles Rams. I think people will overreact to the Carolina win last week, but their team has not been good all season. People are also sleeping on the Rams a bit who have been solid all year and should be in Cam’s face all day.

RH: Los Angeles Rams. I hate betting on Jeff Fisher and Case Keenum, but coming off a bye this is a pretty good spot to be in.

Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers (-7)

NB: Green Bay Packers. When in doubt, go against the AFC South on the road. The Packers are usually good at home and seemed to get their mojo back last week. I don’t trust the Colts and their horrendous defense. This shouldn’t be close.

RH: Green Bay Packers. It’s rare that a game between a 4-3 team and a 3-5 team has the potential to be the best game on the slate, but that’s what you have here. Andrew Luck, Aaron Rodgers and a pair of banged up secondary’s. Be sure to tune in to this one. I’ll take the Pack at home.

Tennessee Titans at San Diego Chargers (-5.5)

NB: Tennessee Titans. This is a stay away in my opinion. I don’t have a great read on either of these teams, but I think the Titans D will do enough to shut down Rivers and Mariota will be able to put up some points on the Chargers.

RH: Tennessee Titans. I’ve been off on both of these teams all season long (except when they play the terrible Jags). I’m reluctantly taking the points as I don’t really believe in this Titans team yet.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (PK)

NB: Denver Broncos. The Raiders come in flying high again, but they haven’t dealt with success well at other points this season. Also, I don’t think the defending champions will let some upstart overtake them in the division.

RH: Denver Broncos. I don’t know how the Broncos keep doing this every week, but they do. We saw what playing almost 5 quarters of football can do to teams the following game last week with Seattle and Arizona. Hopefully I don’t regret taking Trevor Semien over Derek Carr.

Monday, Nov. 7

Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks (-7)

NB: Buffalo Bills. I don’t trust the Seattle offense right now. Wilson can’t move and the offensive line is still bad. I don’t love the Bills, but I don’t see this being a blow out.

RH: Seattle Seahawks. With the state of these two offenses the over/under on total touchdowns in this game should be 1.5. I’ll take the Seahawks defense to make Tyrod Taylor’s night miserable.

Season Record:

NB: 63-56-1 (8-5 Last week)

RH: 53-66-1 (8-5 Last week)

-Nick Bair & Randy Haines

Odds according to Westgate Las Vegas

Photo credit: Pittsburgh Post Gazette

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