Week 10 NFL Picks

Thursday, Nov. 10

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-10)

NB: Baltimore Ravens. First of all, let’s take a moment to marvel at Randy’s Week 9 picks. Somehow, he managed to pick zero games correctly. That’s right. He went 0-12-1 ATS last week, which is almost impossible to do. You have to salute that kind of futility. Speaking of futility, the Browns are awful and may go 0-16. Take the Ravens.   

RH: Cleveland Browns. Yes I had the worst week ever. I’m not proud of it, but I’m not going to run from it. I’m even going to take the Browns in honor of my winless week as the Ravens putrid offense shouldn’t be favored by double digits over anyone.

Sunday, Nov. 13

Houston Texans (-1.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

NB: Houston Texans. 10 of the 11 1pm and 4pm have spreads of four points or less. Just brutal to pick right now with so many evenly matched average teams. I don’t like either of these teams, but the Jags are in freefall and the Texans have something to fight for Sunday.

RH: Houston Texans. This game might actually be worse than my picks were last week. The Jags are an extra special kind of bad this season and Houston is coming off a bye. I’ll take Houston, but this is a stay away.

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers (-3)

NB: Carolina Panthers. The Chiefs have been the better team over the course of the season, but the Panthers have played well since their bye week a few weeks back. This should be a tight game, but I like the home team with the better QB.

RH: Carolina Panthers. As hot as the Chiefs are right now, this is not a great matchup for them. Getting Alex Smith and most likely Spencer Ware back will help things, but I think Carolina has finally found their groove on defense.

Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints (-1)

NB: New Orleans Saints. You know what? I’m starting to buy the Saints and sell on the Broncos. New Orleans has one of the top offenses in the league and their defense is improving (at least for their standards). On the other hand, Denver has a bad QB, bad running game, and their once formidable defense has been run on all year. Give me the Saints.

RH: New Orleans Saints. I had been doubting the Broncos all preseason and for the first month of this season. Last week I finally hopped on board and they showed me who I thought they were.

Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets (-1.5)

NB: Los Angeles Rams. Jared Goff should be the starter by now, but that is not how Jeff Fisher rolls. Anyways, the Rams are due to creep back toward .500, while the Jets season is basically over.

RH: New York Jets. The Jets showed some fight coming back last week only for their special teams to blow the game for them. We should all boycott this Case Keenum vs Ryan Fitzpatrick matchup and not watch a single snap of it.

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (PK)

NB: Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are getting no respect in Vegas. They should have been favored by way more than a FG last week, and now they are a pick ‘em against a struggling Eagles team. Keep riding Matty Ice’s hot hand.

RH: Atlanta Falcons. The Eagles could’ve easily won their last two games, but much to my dismay they didn’t. For the first time really all season they had some blown coverages in the secondary and it cost them big time. If they don’t sure things up, Matty Ice will continue to pad his MVP campaign.

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (-3)

NB: Washington Redskins. Minnesota is in a tailspin and I don’t see it ending this week with the Skins coming off of a bye. The Vikings’ offense can’t score right now and that is one thing Washington is pretty good at this year.

RH: Minnesota Vikings. I probably should have gotten off the Vikings bandwagon after the Eagles game, but I’ll foolishly stay on for one more week.

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Tennessee Titans

NB: Tennessee Titans. Is it possible Green Bay is just not good this year? They have been hit by key injuries and the offense look disjointed. Meanwhile, the defense isn’t scaring anyone and they are still coached by Mike McCarthy. Take the home dog.

RH: Tennessee Titans. I do not feel good about this, but as always take the short home dog. Will Mike McCarthy get fired if they lose this one?

Chicago Bears (-1.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NB: Chicago Bears. The Bears have actually played fairly well lately and I love the emergence of smokin’ Jay Cutler back to the offense. The Buccaneers’ defense is swiss cheese right now and I would expect another shootout.

RH: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is a home dog I feel slightly more confident just for the fact the Bears aren’t very good despite their performance against the Vikings two weeks ago.

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-4)

NB: San Diego Chargers. I think the Chargers are finally rolling and have become a pretty complete team. They have found balance on offense and Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram have been tremendous on defense. Also, I still have no trust in the Dolphins.

RH: San Diego Chargers. The Dolphins are not a .500 team and I think that catches up with them here. The Chargers have shown despite all their injuries this season that they are a solid football team and appear to have saved head coach Mike McCoy’s job in the process.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-13.5)

NB: Arizona Cardinals. This spread is very high, but the Niners are also very bad. The Cardinals should come out inspired after their bye week as they try to fight for a playoff berth in the second half of the year. Meanwhile, the Niners’ season is over.

RH: Arizona Cardinals. Do I have to pick this one? I have no confidence in the Niners to cover any spread, but the Cardinals are not the same team covered at such a high rate last season. Stay Away.

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5)

NB: Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers need to show up Sunday after that embarrassment in Baltimore last week. The Cowboys are very good, but the Steelers can compete with anyone, especially with Ben getting healthier.

RH: Pittsburgh Steelers. Will the real Pittsburgh Steelers please enter the 2016 season? Injuries and suspensions are a factor here, but this team just has yet to play up to their potential since Week 1. I think this is a spot for it all to come together for this team.

Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots (-7.5)

NB: New England Patriots. This is one of only two or three tough games for the Pats the rest of the schedule. You know the team circled it and wants to make a statement to the rest of the league. Meanwhile, Seattle is traveling on a short week, with a defense that looks vulnerable for the first time in years.

RH: New England Patriots. Pats coming off a bye against a banged up Seattle team on a short week? I’ll take that scenario every time.

Monday, Nov. 14

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants (-2.5)

NB: Cincinnati Bengals. I have zero faith in this Giants’ team, even after a win last week. The Bengals are coming off a bye and need to keep pace the AFC North. They will start that quest in Jersey on Monday.

RH: Cincinnati Bengals. I think the Bengals win this game straight up. How fun would it be if both Bad Andy and Bad Eli showed up this week? Someone keep an eye on what the record for most combined turnovers in a game is, that could be in play here.

Season Record:

NB: 68-63-2 (5-7-1 last week)

RH: 53-78-2 (0-12-1 last week)

-Nick Bair & Randy Haines

Odds according to Westgate Las Vegas

Photo credit: Grantland

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