Week 13 NFL Picks

Thursday, Dec. 1

Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) at Minnesota Vikings

NB: Dallas Cowboys. There is no reason to doubt the Cowboys right now. The Vikings D is solid, but their offense is trash. I expect Dak and Zeke to put up enough points to cover the 3.5 points.

RH: Dallas Cowboys. This line feels a little high, but the way Dallas is going right now you cannot go against them almost regardless of the situation.

Sunday, Dec. 4

Denver Broncos (-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

NB: Denver Broncos. The Broncos need a win to keep up in the division and the Jags are the Jags. Denver already beat Tampa Bay by 20 in a cross country trip this season. I don’t think they will have too much trouble with Jacksonville.

RH: Denver Broncos. I still can’t decide what Trevor Semien is. Some weeks he looks pretty solid and others he looks like he should be a backup in the CFL. Regardless this line feels low, take the Broncos.

Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons (-4)

NB: Kansas City Chiefs. While I’m worried KC will struggle after their emotional win Sunday night, I love that their pass rush is finally getting back to top form. I think Justin Houston and Dee Ford will be in Matty Ice’s grill all day and the Chiefs will pull out a close win (or at least a cover).

RH: Kansas City Chiefs. After playing 5 quarters of football in Denver this is a real tough spot for the Chiefs. However the few games Atlanta has struggled on offense this season have been against defense’s that have a good pass rush and with the trio of Houston, Hali and Ford there might not be a better pass rush in the NFL right now.

Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers (-6.5)

NB: Houston Texans. I was dead wrong on my Packers pick last week, but I stand by that they aren’t all of the sudden good again. I think Monday was more the exception than the rule for Green Bay this year. It still doesn’t feel good to pick Houston though.

RH: Houston Texans. Even with Green Bay finally getting back in the win column last week this line is way over inflated and the Texans are still fighting for the division lead, somehow.

Philadelphia Eagles (-1) at Cincinnati Bengals

NB: Cincinnati Bengals. The Eagles have regressed to the mean overall and their offense really doesn’t scare anyone at this point. Even though Cincinnati’s season is over, they are still a competent enough that they shouldn’t be getting points at home against an average team.

RH: Philadelphia Eagles. It’s do or die for the Eagles in 2016, the defense had its worst showing of the year last week and still looked solid. I might regret this pick if Jordan Matthews doesn’t play, but Cincinnati has shown nothing over the last month.

Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints (-6)

NB: New Orleans Saints. The Saints will probably end up being the best team in the NFL to miss the playoffs this year. They just look really good right now, and even their defense has been passable. I don’t see them slowing down at home again this week.

RH: Detroit Lions. I’m not a believer in this Lions team, but the line here is out of control. Take the Lions, take the over at 53.5 and start all your Saints and Lions in fantasy this weekend.

San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears (PK)

NB: San Francisco 49ers. Kaep has been awesome lately, and even though Barkley is somewhat competent, I think the 49ers steal a win over the injury riddled Bears. I would suggest you not actually watch this game though.

RH: Chicago Bears. Do not bet this game. Do not watch this game. I would even suggest you act like this game does not exist. I guess I’ll take the home team.

Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots (-13.5)

NB: New England Patriots. The Rams are bad and Belichick will feast on the rookie QB. Also, the Pats offense struggled last week. I’m sure they will want to step on the gas pedal this week.

RH: New England Patriots. This has the feeling of one of the stupid games the Rams are in and you are not sure how it’s happening. Either way, you always take the Pats at home.

Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5)

NB: Baltimore Ravens. Jay Ajayi, please meet the Ravens’ run defense in cold weather in December. When the run game stalls, Tannehill will have to throw deep, against a team that doesn’t give up many big plays. Even the Dolphins are hot, I don’t see them beating the Ravens this week.

RH: Miami Dolphins. I had no idea what to do with this game. I don’t particularly believe in either of these teams and it’s also the rare matchup between two potential playoff teams that no one wants to watch. I guess I’ll take the points.

Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders (-3)

NB: Oakland Raiders. This line seems fishy. I know the Bills have been better this year, but is this really a pick ‘em on a neutral field as the line suggests? I’ll keep rolling with Oakland, but this game does worry me.

RH: Oakland Raiders. The Raiders are due for a stumble before the playoffs start and even though I like the Bills I do not think it comes this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Diego Chargers (-4)

NB: San Diego Chargers. Everyone is going to be riding the Bucs after that great performance against Seattle last week. Not so fast though. The Chargers have played really well all year and should be in control for most of this game. I see the Bolts taking this by a touchdown.

RH: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Welcome to the “Both teams wish they played in the AFC South Bowl”. When it’s all said and done I could see both teams just missing the playoffs due in large part to having pretty brutal schedule. This should be an entertaining one. Chargers win, Bucs cover.

Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5)

NB: Washington Redskins. The Cardinals’ season is over. Despite the loss last week, the Redskins are still playing very well and should continue that in Arizona Sunday, especially with an extra couple days off compared to the Cards.

RH: Washington Redskins. What a difference a year makes. This time last year the Cardinals were getting major Super Bowl buzz and no one was taking the Redskins seriously. Washington pulls away late in what should still be a fun game.

New York Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)

NB: Pittsburgh Steelers. The Pittsburgh offense has been tremendous at Heinz Field all season. I also think the Giants are overrated and have been somewhat smoke and mirrors this year. Both teams are fighting for their playoff lives, but I still give Pittsburgh the edge.

RH: Pittsburgh Steelers. Finally a chance for the regression that is coming New York’s way to appear. I actually think this line should be at least 7, Steelers roll on Sunday.

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5)

NB: Carolina Panthers. Seattle will play much better than they did last week against Tampa Bay, but Carolina is still a really good team (despite their record this year). The Seattle secondary also showed that they can be thrown on last week, and I expect Cam to take advantage of that to keep it close.

RH: Seattle Seahawks. Cam got off to a rough start in the game last week and even on the long contested touchdown to Kelvin Benjamin he missed a wide open Devin Funchess on the other side of the field. Seattle is also 6-2 ATS coming off a loss since the start of last season.

Monday, Dec. 5

Indianapolis Colts (-1) at New York Jets

NB: Indianapolis Colts. The Jets  lost their mini Super Bowl last week against the Patriots. I expect this to be a let down game that you should turn off before halftime as long as Andrew Luck is healthy and playing.

RH: Indianapolis Colts. I really wish there was a way to flex Monday night games. Nevertheless, I’ll take the Colts who unlike the terrible Jets still have something to play for.

Season Record:

NB: 90-83-4 (11-4-1 last week)

RH: 70-103-4 (7-8-1 last week)

-Nick Bair & Randy Haines

Odds according to Westgate Las Vegas

Photo credit: Boston.com


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