Week 14 NFL Picks

Thursday, Dec. 8

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)

NB: Oakland Raiders. The Chiefs are hot, at home, and getting back to full health. Everything points to them this week, but there is just something about this Raiders team right now. I see this game coming down to the wire, and the extra 3.5 points really helps.

RH: Oakland Raiders. This should be a great game with the AFC West title on the line. The hook has me on the Raiders side of this potential playoff preview.

Sunday, Dec. 11

Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans (-1)

NB: Tennessee Titans. Another one where I would normally default to the Broncos, because they are the reigning champs and the Titans are the Titans. But not so fast my friend. The Titans are tied for the lead in division and need this win badly. They are also at home and coming off a bye. Come on, Mariota!

RH: Tennessee Titans. This could be the best game in what is a pretty ugly early slate of games. With the uncertainty around who will be under center for Denver this weekend on top of the Titans coming off a bye the Titans have a real shot at winning this one.

San Diego Chargers at Carolina Panthers (-1)

NB: San Diego Chargers. Philip Rivers homecoming game! After last week’s curious benching of Cam Newton to start the game, I think the Panthers season is toast. Rivers will also feast on Carolina’s suspect secondary.

RH: San Diego Chargers. I’m really curious how the Panthers will respond after last week’s tie related debacle, they could be set up for a big downward spiral. The Chargers have also been a sneaky good road team winning two of their last three.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-6)

NB: Indianapolis Colts. The Texans are who we thought they were. It’s time for their inevitable collapse. Indy seems destined to win the AFC South and then lose brutally in the first round of the playoffs.

RH: Houston Texans. Houston is a bad team, but not this bad. The first matchup went into overtime and I could see this one headed the same direction.

Cincinnati Bengals (-6) at Cleveland Browns

NB: Cincinnati Bengals. I don’t care if the Bengals are having a down year. No one should be only a single digit against the Browns right now.

RH: Cincinnati Bengals. In his last 8 starts, RG3 is 1-7 with just 4 touchdown passes and 10 turnovers. Take the Bengals.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) at Buffalo Bills

NB: Buffalo Bills. The Steelers road woes scare me here. They are a better team than Buffalo, but I think the Bills will make this a tough game and can get the upset here. I also like getting a home underdog with a great running game in December.

RH: Buffalo Bills. They are calling for a huge snow storm in Buffalo this Sunday which should favor the run heavy team. Take the homedog here.

Arizona Cardinals at Miami Dolphins (-1)

NB: Miami Dolphins. I don’t like this game at all. I would just stay away. Hoping for Dolphins bounceback, but wouldn’t bank on it.

RH: Arizona Cardinals. I might be foolishly buying back into the Cardinals after their win against Washington and possibly overreacting to the Dolphins getting blown out in Baltimore. I just think even after the hell Arizona has been through this season they are still the better team.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-8)

NB: Chicago Bears. I think this will be somewhat of a  let down game for the Lions after their huge win next week. I still think the Lions will win straight up, but the Bears will keep it close.

RH: Detroit Lions. I’m actually surprised at how low this line is. I think it should be double digits. I’m not buying into Matt Barkley yet. Some garbage time yards against Tennessee and a win over the Niners aren’t exactly things to write home about.

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

NB: Jacksonville Jaguars. This is strictly a contrarian play and the Jags are due for one wonky win before the end of the season.

RH: Minnesota Vikings. Keep betting against the Jags until further notice.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)

NB: New Orleans Saints. Drew Brees will bounce back and I still don’t think the Bucs are that good, despite their recent hot stretch.

RH: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I can’t see Drew Brees having two bad games in a row, but the Bucs are red hot. Not only have they won four straight they’ve covered in 6 of their last 8.

Washington Redskins (PK) at Philadelphia Eagles

NB: Washington Redskins. With the Eagles out of playoff contention, The Process is the best show in town right now (at 4-18). I’m sure Randy will take some DC digs, but he’ll be very sad this Sunday when YOU LIKE THAT buries Carson Wentz’s rookie season.

RH: Philadelphia Eagles. DC sports is off to a bad start this week. John Wall might be the most unhappy player in pro sports right now and the Nats just traded two elite pitching prospects for an outfielder who Nats manager Dusty Baker described as a “dirtbag” style of player. Things like that don’t bode well for a team fighting for the playoffs. Good times in The District.

New York Jets at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

NB: San Francisco 49ers. The Jets are garbage. The Niners are garbage. At least San Fran is at home and has the more talented QB in Kaepernick.

RH: New York Jets. Take the points and do not watch a second of this game.

Seattle Seahawks (-3) at Green Bay Packers

NB: Seattle Seahawks. It’s that time of year when Russell Wilson puts his team on his back. Seattle is a much better overall team than Green Bay. Although it is tough to bet against the Pack at home, especially when you are getting a field goal.

RH: Seattle Seahawks. I might be the only one who still hasn’t bought back into the Packers, but something still seems off about them. Not having Earl Thomas could end up really making me look foolish in this one, but to me Seattle is still the superior team.

Atlanta Falcons (-6) at Los Angeles Rams

NB: Atlanta Falcons. I don’t trust the Falcons, but I have zero faith in the Rams right now. The Falcons also NEED this win.

RH: Los Angeles Rams. The Falcons are trending in the wrong direction late in the season once again. It really is quite a skill to collapse late in the season they way they do.

Dallas Cowboys (-3) at New York Giants

NB: New York Giants. I already know I’m going to regret this pick, but give me the Giants at home. The Cowboys are due for a letdown game and the Giants will play better than did last week.

RH: Dallas Cowboys. The real New York football Giants finally showed up last week once they were forced to face some real competition. No JPP and Dallas having extra rest leading up to this game is a bad recipe for Big Blue.

Monday, Dec. 12

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-7)

NB: Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens play really well on defense and will be amped up for this game. Sizzle will be talking smack to Brady all night long and Flacco will make enough plays to atleast keep this close.

RH: New England Patriots. On the surface this line is way to low, but when you factor in the history these two teams have you to be cautious. I’m still taking the Pats, but I’m treading lightly.

Season Record:

NB: 98-90-4 (8-7 last week)

RH: 80-108-4 (10-5 last week)

-Nick Bair & Randy Haines

Odds according to Westgate Las Vegas

Photo credit: Seattle Times

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